Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 57.7%
Voorspellers
7
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd12 aug 26, 16:29 UTC31 dec 26, 23:58 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Kash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsKash Patel out as FBI Director?
KalshiKash Patel out by which date?
PolymarketWill Kash Patel visit Russia before November?
KalshiWill at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich people on the Kash Patel list of "Members of the Executive Branch Deep State" from his book will be investigated?
Manifold MarketsRegels
[image]Resolution criteria
- Kash Patel became the ninth Director of the FBI on February 20, 2025.
- This market resolves YES if Patel is no longer serving as FBI Director before December 31, 2026.
- This includes resignation, removal, or any other departure from the position.
- Resolution will be determined by official FBI leadership announcements or credible news reporting of his departure.
- The market resolves NO if Patel remains FBI Director through December 31, 2026.
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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- Yes-12.0pt18.8%
- Totaal volume
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- 24u volume
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POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.3pt19%
- Jon Ossoff+0.8pt17%
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KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate+3.0pt50%
- D-House, R-Senate-2.0pt34%
- R-House, R-Senate-3.0pt14%
+1 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 188,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 675,8K
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-2.0pt63%
- Nithya Raman+3.0pt37%
- Totaal volume
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- 24u volume
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.5pt52.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt45.5%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt2%
+16 extra uitkomsten
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Next French Presidential Election
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Texas Senate winner?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Kash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 58% per 14 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Kash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Kash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Kash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: [image]Resolution criteria