Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingDecember 31 19%-0.1ptKoploper van 4 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
5
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-1.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd1 okt 26, 00:43 UTC13 jan 27, 00:42 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Kash Patel out by which date?
PolymarketKash Patel out as FBI Director?
KalshiKash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Kash Patel visit Russia?
KalshiWill at least five of the people on Kash Patel's "enemies list" be incarcerated on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich people on the Kash Patel list of "Members of the Executive Branch Deep State" from his book will be investigated?
Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve identically to this Polymarket market: Kash Patel out by the named outcome?
- Polymarket rules:
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.