Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 81.8%
Voorspellers
2
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd12 feb 26, 16:23 UTC31 dec 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals rule in Kalshi's favor?
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PolymarketRegels
Before January 1, 2028, will a CFTC-designated contract market (DCM) operate or officially announce a physical location in California where members of the public can trade event contracts in person?” — Resolves YES based on a press release, news report, or SEC/CFTC filing.
- Doesn’t need to literally be blackjack, just any physical “trading floor” open to the public.
- See https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/newsletters/2026-02-10/bond-trading-gets-cheaper