JD Vance will be the republican nominee for pres in 2028 and gives a major anti-AI speech at the convention
PolitiekOne-OffUS PoliticsVerkiezingAI11mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 92%
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Verouderd14 apr 25, 18:51 UTC30 aug 27, 22:59 UTC
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Will JD Vance be the 2028 Republican nominee for President?
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Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028?
FutuurWill JD Vance win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExNH-01 Republican nominee?
KalshiRegels
Being very specific here.
- It's got to be both JD Vance as the nominee, and in his nomination speech he's also got to give a speech where the main topic of the speech is CLEARLY AI. i.e. not just mentioned, but mentioned FIRST if multiple issues are raised; and if multiple issues are mentioned, then impartial textual and emotional analysis should reveal that the major issue he's giving his position on is about AI.
- Deadline: whatever the normal (or rescheduled) republican party is (or the natural successor party, if there is one)
Open markten
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 697,7K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,2 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 471,3K
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- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor JD Vance will be the republican nominee for pres in 2028 and gives a major anti-AI speech at the convention?
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 92% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt JD Vance will be the republican nominee for pres in 2028 and gives a major anti-AI speech at the convention afgewikkeld?
- JD Vance will be the republican nominee for pres in 2028 and gives a major anti-AI speech at the convention wordt naar verwachting op 30 augustus 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt JD Vance will be the republican nominee for pres in 2028 and gives a major anti-AI speech at the convention afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Being very specific here.