JD Vance and Usha Vance announce separation or divorce before June 1st 2029
One-OffAmerikaanse politiekPolitiek2jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 85%
Voorspellers
52
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd7 feb 25, 17:57 UTC1 jun 29, 23:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will JD Vance and Usha Vance announce a divorce by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Usha Vance convert to Christianity before the election?
Manifold MarketsAI model achieves superhuman ELO on Codeforces by June 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a semiconductor fabrication plant project in Australia be announced before June 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhat will JD Vance say during his rally in Rome, New York?
KalshiJD Vance out as VP by which date?
PolymarketRegels
This market resolves YES if JD Vance and Usha Vance publicly announce their separation or divorce, or if credible media sources report their separation/divorce filing before June 1st, 2029.
- Resolution will be based on reports from major news outlets like ABC News, Fox News, or other mainstream media sources.
- The date is chosen to be after the current term as VP and give them enough time to execute on a decision they might have made but held off on during his time as VP and a potential campaign for his own presidency
- Update 2025-11-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Usha Vance has an "accident" (dies), this would not count as a separation or divorce and the market would resolve NO.