Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 54.4%
Voorspellers
4
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd13 aug 26, 04:26 UTC18 okt 26, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Test for wedding prop bets
Manifold MarketsWill my friend and I stop being friends after I attend summer camp?
Manifold MarketsWill Scott Alexander (ACX author) come to Austin and attend or host a public event in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
KalshiRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Val attends the wedding ceremony and/or reception of the couple known as "The Strotes".
- This market resolves to NO if Val does not attend either the wedding ceremony or the reception.
- Attending only pre-wedding events (such as a rehearsal dinner, bridal shower, or bachelor/bachelorette party) without attending the actual wedding day events will resolve this market to NO.
- If the wedding is canceled, postponed indefinitely, or does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to N/A. The market creator will resolve this market based on first-hand knowledge, photographic evidence, or direct confirmation from Val or the wedding hosts.
Open markten
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt47.6%
- 65-89+5.0pt28.6%
- <40-3.0pt15.2%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 35,6K
- 24u volume
- € 11,8K
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No99%
- Yes-67.0pt1%
- Totaal volume
- € 10,5K
- 24u volume
- € 7,4K
KALSHIWill NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
- No87%
- Yes+1.0pt13%
- Totaal volume
- € 8,3K
- 24u volume
- € 1,5K
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No-2.0pt76%
- Yes+2.0pt24%
- Totaal volume
- € 14,1K
- 24u volume
- € 608,1
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Totaal volume
- € 515,7
- 24u volume
- € 515,7
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Totaal volume
- € 515,7
- 24u volume
- € 515,7
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date
- Is Earth flat?
- Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
- Turner Prize 2026 Winner
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Is Val going to attend The Strotes wedding??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 54% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Is Val going to attend The Strotes wedding? afgewikkeld?
- Is Val going to attend The Strotes wedding? wordt naar verwachting op 18 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Is Val going to attend The Strotes wedding? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria