Is Mitch McConnell wife (Elaine Chao) up to no good?
PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezingChinaCrime & JusticeUS Politics9mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 94.1%
Voorspellers
22
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 uur geleden
Verouderd5 jul 26, 03:01 UTC1 jul 27, 03:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
KalshiMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
PolymarketWhen will Mitch McConnell retire?
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch Mcconnell be declared dead by September 30, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell cast a Senate vote by Sept. 30?
PredictItWill Mitch McConnell die before Joe Biden?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, between July 5, 2026, and June 30, 2027, Elaine Chao is formally indicted, criminally charged, or officially announced as the subject of a new investigation by a United States federal agency (such as the Department of Justice, the Securities and Exchange Commission, or the Federal Election Commission) or a congressional committee.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- Any official investigation, indictment, or charges must be verified by a reliable, mainstream news source (e.g., AP News, Reuters, or The New York Times) or a direct publication from a U.S. government agency.
- On June 14, 2026, Senator Mitch McConnell was hospitalized after emergency responders performed CPR following a cardiac arrest at his home.
- Just three days later, on June 17, 2026, his wife, former Transportation Secretary Elaine Chao, traveled to Beijing to meet with Chinese Vice President Han Zheng to discuss U.S.-China bilateral cooperation.
Open markten
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+81.8pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-81.6pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.7pt0%
- Totaal volume
- € 957,3K
- 24u volume
- € 760,7K
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.1%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,7 mln.
- 24u volume
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt45.5%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-1.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.6pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt37.1%
- Édouard Philippe32%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- NJ-07 House winner?
- IA-01 House winner?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Is Mitch McConnell wife (Elaine Chao) up to no good??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 94% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Is Mitch McConnell wife (Elaine Chao) up to no good? afgewikkeld?
- Is Mitch McConnell wife (Elaine Chao) up to no good? wordt naar verwachting op 1 juli 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Is Mitch McConnell wife (Elaine Chao) up to no good? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria