Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 60.2%
Voorspellers
118
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd26 jan 24, 00:32 UTC1 jan 33, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Mitch McConnell die in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
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PolymarketWhen will Mitch McConnell retire?
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch Mcconnell be declared dead by September 30, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell cast a Senate vote by Sept. 30?
PredictItRegels
We’ve got two 81 year old career politicians, born in 1942, from opposing sides of the aisle.
- Will Cocaine Mitch croak before Scranton Joe? Can Grandpa Biden outlast Ol’ Man McConnell?
- This market will extend as needed.
Open markten
US PoliticsPOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt98%
- $25M+0.8pt95%
- $50M+10.0pt95%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 855,7K
- 24u volume
- € 683,4K
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,6 mln.
- 24u volume
KALSHIRhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Helena Foulkes-0.4pt97.1%
- Dan McKee+2.3pt2.9%
- Gregory Stevens0%
- Totaal volume
- € 620,1K
- 24u volume
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.0pt84%
- Republican Party16%
- Totaal volume
- € 24,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 215,2K
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+2.8pt57.6%
- Benjamin Netanyahu+1.0pt28.3%
- Naftali Bennett-1.0pt7.1%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Mitch McConnell die before Joe Biden??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 60% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Mitch McConnell die before Joe Biden? afgewikkeld?
- Will Mitch McConnell die before Joe Biden? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2033 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Mitch McConnell die before Joe Biden? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: We’ve got two 81 year old career politicians, born in 1942, from opposing sides of the aisle.