Manifold MarketsGeslotenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: Yes (95.6%)
Afgewikkeld: 20 aug 2026, 14:49
Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 95.6%
Voorspellers
39
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd7 apr 26, 23:5331 mei 26, 23:59
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Yes95.6%
No4.400000000000006%
95.6%
4.4%
Regels
This is a tricky topic to define & subjective judgment is required—I will not try to fully define legally precise criteria.
- Trade with caution (I won't trade on this market).
- Context from Reuters.
- Part of Iran's peace proposal is a "Strait of Hormuz fee" that ships need to pay them to pass through the strait.
- This market resolves YES if any ships that passed through the strait on June 1 might need to pay this fee.
- A few details:
Open markten
Middle East
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-1.8pt66%
- October 31-8.5pt41%
- September 30-3.0pt26%
+17 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 15,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 351K
POLYMARKETUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- December 31-3.0pt8%
- November 30-2.0pt6%
- October 31-1.0pt4%
+6 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jul 1, 2027+2.0pt47%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-2.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2027-4.0pt24%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-5.0pt36.1%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt22.7%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt11.3%
+8 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22+1.1pt98%
- August 2595%
- August 31-1.0pt86%
+3 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by which date?
- August 310%
- August 150%
- Totaal volume
- € 19,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 101,7K
- Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Al-Riyadh vs Al Nassr
- Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will Iran target a Arab country on?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Iran charges "Strait of Hormuz fees" on June 1??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 96% per 21 augustus 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Iran charges "Strait of Hormuz fees" on June 1? afgewikkeld?
- Iran charges "Strait of Hormuz fees" on June 1? wordt naar verwachting op 31 mei 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Iran charges "Strait of Hormuz fees" on June 1? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This is a tricky topic to define & subjective judgment is required—I will not try to fully define legally precise criteria.