Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by end of 2026
GrondstoffenOne-OffMidden-OostenGeopolitiek2mnd
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 15 okt 2026, 12:57 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 92%
Voorspellers
18
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd25 mei 26, 01:53 UTC1 jan 27, 05:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolves according to https://polymarket.com/event/iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by
- Resolution criteria from Polymarket
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
- An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.
