Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling2029 7%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
26
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd10 okt 23, 05:27 UTC1 jan 29, 07:59 UTC
Trends
0%
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0%
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A derivative market of @/MartinRandall/when-will-trump-be-imprisoned
- Note that this is not just about when Trump begins serving time, but also about in which years he will still be serving time before his release/death.
- This market uses the new Unlinked Multiple Choice format.
- The probabilites of each answer are independent of the other answers.
- Individual answers can resolve early, while the market as a whole remains open.
- Any year in which trump is serving a custodial sentence will resolve Yes.
Open markten
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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- Totaal volume
- € 605,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 695,7K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
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POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
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KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
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- Marco Rubio20.4%
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- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor In which years will Trump Serve Time? [Unlinked Multiple Choice]?
- Manifold Markets prijst 2029 op 7% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt In which years will Trump Serve Time? [Unlinked Multiple Choice] afgewikkeld?
- In which years will Trump Serve Time? [Unlinked Multiple Choice] wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt In which years will Trump Serve Time? [Unlinked Multiple Choice] afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: A derivative market of @/MartinRandall/when-will-trump-be-imprisoned