Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNever 87.9%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
69
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd19 aug 23, 00:15 UTC1 feb 29, 04:59 UTC
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In which years will Trump Serve Time? [Unlinked Multiple Choice]
Manifold MarketsWill Robert Lichfield serve time in prison before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump ever serve time in prison?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Trump serve time?
Manifold MarketsTrump to serve his full term?
FutuurWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves based on day that his custodial sentence starts, or "never" if he dies without serving a custodial sentence.
- What counts?
- Prison, jail or the named outcome pre-conviction does not, must be serving a sentence.
- Prison, jail or the named outcome post-conviction counts.
- Community service, probation, and other non-custodial sentences do not count.
- It does not count if he is pardoned or otherwise granted clemency before his sentence begins.
