Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling2028-2030 48%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Verouderd2 apr 25, 01:36 UTC1 jan 51, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will at least five purely-AI-written books make it onto the New York Times fiction bestseller list before 2031?
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PolymarketRegels
Advancements in artificial intelligence have raised the possibility of AI independently creating literary works capable of becoming commercially successful and critically acclaimed.
- This question explores the timeline for when an AI-generated book will independently achieve bestseller status.
- Resolution Criteria:
- This question will resolve as “YES” if all of the following conditions are met:
- At least 99% of the words generated must authored by AI.
- Overwhelming majority of the core ideas, narrative, content, and exposition are generated by AI.