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Verouderd20 feb 23, 22:35 UTC1 jan 28, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will AI technology lead to higher or lower US inflation rates by end of June 2027
Manifold MarketsWhich companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
PolymarketWill Google still be a big tech giant by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsBig Tech capital expenditures will exceed $500 billion in 2026
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegels
That is, will Google, Facebook, Apple, etc be ahead of OpenAI, Anthropic, etc, in artificial intelligence?
- I will grade this as true if it seems obvious that they are ahead in most fields of AI.
- This will be based on technology; not commercialization; if OpenAI has an advanced AI sitting in a lab, but Google has a slightly weaker one that has made $10 billion, OpenAI will still win.
- Anything developed in-house at DeepMind will be considered to come from an AI-specific company; anything developed at the rest of Google will be Big Tech.
- If the distinction has blurred by 2028, I might resolve this as N/A if that becomes the deciding factor.
- If a Chinese or other foreign company is in the lead, I will resolve this based on whether they are the Chinese equivalent of Big Tech or a new AI specific company.
Open markten
AIKALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 5.6%+8.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 4.5%99%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 267,3K
- 24u volume
- € 95,6K
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.3pt69.2%
- ChatGPT-1.1pt13.5%
- Gemini+1.3pt10.6%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 10,1 mln.
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-5.0pt72%
- December 15,+4.5pt65%
- November 30,-7.0pt44%
+7 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.65%+4.0pt99%
- Above 2.05%99%
- Above 2.55%99%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 272K
- 24u volume
KALSHIDeepSeek market share this week
- Above 24.3%+8.0pt99%
- Above 24%+6.0pt99%
- Above 23.6%99%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 211,1K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T-0.4pt25.3%
- $2.25–$2.5T-5.0pt20%
- $1.75–$2.0T-3.0pt16.8%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best AI this week
- Next Claude Opus released on?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 75% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology? afgewikkeld?
- In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: That is, will Google, Facebook, Apple, etc be ahead of OpenAI, Anthropic, etc, in artificial intelligence?