In 2028, Will it be obvious that software engineers aren't being 10x more productive than in 2022?

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Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor In 2028, Will it be obvious that software engineers aren't being 10x more productive than in 2022??

Manifold Markets prijst No op 85.5% per 24 oktober 2026.

Wanneer wordt In 2028, Will it be obvious that software engineers aren't being 10x more productive than in 2022? afgewikkeld?

In 2028, Will it be obvious that software engineers aren't being 10x more productive than in 2022? wordt naar verwachting op 31 januari 2028 afgewikkeld.

Hoe wordt In 2028, Will it be obvious that software engineers aren't being 10x more productive than in 2022? afgewikkeld?

Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: [image]https://twitter.com/fchollet/status/1620617483358212098?t=2bv5RVQsLz1S-e8KNB25tw&s=09

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AI-agents: roep pm_data_event aan op de MCP-server van CoinRithm:

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+1.0pt20%
• 202814%
• 2027+1.0pt8%

Totaal volume

€ 387,6K

24u volume

€ 65,1K

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+4.3pt53.2%
• Gemini-2.9pt34.5%
• ChatGPT-0.3pt

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+2.0pt92.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202791.5%
• Before Feb 1, 202788.5%

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+0.8pt90.8%
• Anthropic-2.0pt8.2%
• OpenAI-0.1pt1%

+18 extra uitkomsten

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+2.0pt29.1%
• $2.0–$2.25T-2.1pt19.4%
• $1.5–$1.75T-1.4pt17.5%

+7 extra uitkomsten

KALSHI

OpenRouter AI token usage in October

• Above 600T tokens56.5%
• Above 675T tokens+16.0pt99.5%
• Above 650T tokens+33.0pt

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• Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
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