In 2027, will Manifold poll show Minnesota shooting had greater immigration enforcement impact than Laken Riley?
Amerikaanse politiekOne-Off1jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 63%
Voorspellers
8
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd9 jan 26, 02:43 UTC31 dec 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the UK Government establish a dedicated immigration enforcement agency similar to US ICE by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the 2028 United States presidential election be free and fair, according to ≥75% of Manifold poll respondents?
Manifold MarketsFed Decision in October?
PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiWhich party will win the House in 2026?
PolymarketRegels
At the end of 2026 I will make a poll (basically) identical to this: {https://manifold.markets/JeromeHPowell/which-incident-do-you-believe-will}
- The market will resolve to Yes, No, or 50%, 50% being in case of a tie.
- I am open to changes to this model of resolution, but if a lot of people trade before a change, I will keep it how it is most likely.
- I am very interested!
- [link preview]