If Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, will cannabis be decriminalized or legalized by the midterms?
PolitiekOne-OffGezondheid en geneeskundeAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezing8d
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 04:02 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 86.8%
Voorspellers
36
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd10 mrt 24, 09:51 UTC4 nov 26, 04:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
Resolves YES if Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 presidential elections AND a federal law is enacted that legalizes cannabis or removes criminal penalties for the possession of cannabis for personal use by Tuesday, November 3rd, 2026.
- Resolves NO if Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 presidential election AND no federal laws are enacted that legalize cannabis or remove criminal penalties for the possession of cannabis for personal use by November 3rd, 2026.
- Resolves N/A if Donald Trump is not elected president in 2024 or if a federal law is enacted that legalizes cannabis or removes criminal penalties for the possession of cannabis for personal use prior to the election on November 5th, 2024.
- Sister market:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Athena/if-biden-wins-the-2024-us-president)Update 2025-09-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For this market, "federal law enacted" is interpreted broadly: any nationwide decision that legalizes cannabis or removes criminal penalties for personal possession will resolve YES.
- Examples that qualify (must apply nationwide):
