If Trump wins, will the US homicide rate decrease?
PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezingAmerikaanse politiekMisdaad en justitie6dManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 90.7%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 19 uur geleden
Verouderd10 mrt 24, 17:05 UTC3 nov 26, 07:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
According to a report by the Council on Criminal Justice, peak in 2023 was 1.8 per 100,000 population, averaged across 18 metros:
- https://infogram.com/ct_report-homicide-1hmr6g7pmkyqo6n
- https://counciloncj.org/year-end-2023-crime-trends/
- Resolved based on the CCJ’s 2026 report, published after the 2026 midterm elections.
- Market closes just before the 2026 midterms.
- Update 14 Mar 24: This market resolves NA if Trump doesn’t win.
