If Trump is elected in 2024, will the US impose restrictions on training new advanced AIs before 2030?
Amerikaanse politiekOne-Off4j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 85.6%
Voorspellers
16
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd31 jan 24, 15:47 UTC31 dec 30, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will California impose restrictions on training new advanced AIs before 2030?
Manifold MarketsChina vs US: who will be first to impose a ban on releasing open weight AIs above a certain threshold?
Manifold MarketsWill the US impose antidumping duties on Russian palladium imports by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS to impose tariffs on Denmark's imports before the 2028 elections?
FutuurIf Trump is elected, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of his term? (V-DEM)
Manifold MarketsWill the next elected US president be a woman?
PolymarketRegels
If Trump is elected, this will resolve according to this market.
- Otherwise, it will resolve N/A.
