Will Trump make a serious attempt to remain in power after his term?
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Vertraagd22 jan 24, 19:34 UTC7 jan 29, 04:59 UTC
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The attempt does not have to be successful, but it needs to involve some effort and political capital; not just a throwaway comment here and there.
- Resolves based on my own judgement of what counts as "a serious attempt".
- I won't bet.
- (The January 6th shenanigans and constant accusations of voter fraud last time were severe enough to count under this criterion.
- Seeking a third term, even if the election itself was fair, would also count.)
- Resolves N/A if he dies before the last year of his term, and he has not already done something that would qualify.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Trump make a serious attempt to remain in power after his term??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 58% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Trump make a serious attempt to remain in power after his term? afgewikkeld?
- Will Trump make a serious attempt to remain in power after his term? wordt naar verwachting op 7 januari 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Trump make a serious attempt to remain in power after his term? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: The attempt does not have to be successful, but it needs to involve some effort and political capital; not just a throwaway comment here and there.