If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win?
PolitiekOne-OffUS PoliticsVerkiezing2jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 51.7%
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Verouderd19 feb 25, 04:18 UTC9 nov 28, 05:59 UTC
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Resolves N/A if he does not become constitutionally eligible for a third term by the filing deadlines in states that comprise ≥270 EVs for the 2028 election
- Update 2025-09-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Constitutional eligibility will be assessed on election day, rather than at state filing deadlines.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 52% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win? afgewikkeld?
- If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win? wordt naar verwachting op 9 november 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves N/A if he does not become constitutionally eligible for a third term by the filing deadlines in states that comprise ≥270 EVs for the 2028 election