If this person is leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election, will the PM be Reform?
PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezing2j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 18:55 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNigel Farage 36%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
11
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd5 mei 25, 16:59 UTC1 jan 29, 17:58 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Who will be the leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsIf this person is leader of the Conservatives going into the next UK general election, will the Economist endorse Cons?
Manifold MarketsIf this person is leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election, will the Economist endorse Labour?
Manifold MarketsIf this person is leader of the Lib Dems going into the next UK general election, will the Economist endorse Lib Dems?
Manifold MarketsCalifornia Recall Election Reform Proposition
PolymarketNigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves N/A for options that are not the leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election.
- Otherwise, resolves YES if the PM is Reform (even if they are not the leader going into the election), and NO otherwise.
