If the Strait of Hormuz shows as closed, will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 Midterms?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezingMidden-OostenAmerikaanse tussentijdse verkiezingen 20268d
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 67%
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20
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd9 aug 26, 22:35 UTC3 nov 26, 11:59 UTC
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If the Strait of Hormuz shows as closed on the day of the 2026 Midterms, will the Democrats get control of both the House and the Senate.
- Strait of Hormuz closure will be based off of this website.
- If this website stops working I'll use my own judgement in picking another appropriate source or a shipping threshold.
- If the Strait is open on the day of midterms then the market will N/A. If the Strait opens for a time before the Midterms and then recloses and is closed for Midterms it will still resolve.
- Resolution on Democrats controlling both the House and the Senate will occur after reputable sources have called enough races to determine resolution.
