If the filibuster is ended by the midterms, what will the outcome of the 2026 US House and Senate elections be?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezingAmerikaanse tussentijdse verkiezingen 20263d
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingD House, R Senate 48.7%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
5
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd3 mei 26, 15:53 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Outcome of the 2026 US Midterm election
Manifold MarketsWill Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
Manifold MarketsWill a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win 53 seats or more in the 2026 Senate elections?
Manifold MarketsControl of the US Senate after the 2026 Elections
FutuurWill the same party control the U.S. House and Senate?
KalshiRegels
Resolves N/A if the filibuster is not ended by the midterms.
- Otherwise, resolves at the parties that have a majority in the House and Senate, respectively.
- If the Senate is 50-50, resolves R Senate.
- If neither the Republican nor Democratic Caucuses have a majority in a chamber, resolves at the party of the majority leader in that chamber.
- Resolves "other" if these conditions are somehow impossible to apply (e.g. independent majority leader, no midterms, house or senate no longer exist, all the congresspeople are abducted by aliens).
