If the Conservatives get ≥100 seats in the next general election, will the PM at the end of 2027 be Labour?
PolitiekOne-OffEuropaVerkiezing1j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 54.2%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 20 minuten geleden
17 sep 26, 21:57 UTC31 dec 27, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
Resolves YES if the PM at the end of 2027 is Labour and Conservatives get ≥100 seats in the next general election; resolves NO if the PM at the end of 2027 isn't Labour, and N/A if Labour doesn't get ≥100 seats in the next GE.
- Beware the order of the events; the next GE might occur before or after the end of 2027, which affects the causation but not the logic of the resolution.
