Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingBe a cabinet minister on 1 April 2027 2.3%Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
23
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd27 feb 26, 03:56 UTC31 dec 26, 19:34 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
If Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister in 2026, will Labour win the next UK general election?
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Out as PM means he is out as prime minister for any length of time, or announced his exit by 11.59pm 31 Dec 2026 London Time.
- Resolves n/a if Keir Starmer is pm for all of 2026 and has not announced his exit by end of year.
- Stay on= be an mp continuously until then.
- If he leaves parliament, will resolve no immediately, even if he wins a byelection before the next election.
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