Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingBe a cabinet minister on 1 April 2027 2.2%Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
23
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-13.8 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd27 feb 26, 03:56 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
If Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister in 2026, will Labour win the next UK general election?
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Manifold MarketsWhen will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?
Manifold MarketsAndy Burnham out as UK PM by which date?
PolymarketAndy Burnham out as UK's Prime Minister by which date?
FutuurPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRegels
Out as PM means he is out as prime minister for any length of time, or announced his exit by 11.59pm 31 Dec 2026 London Time.
- Resolves n/a if Keir Starmer is pm for all of 2026 and has not announced his exit by end of year.
- Stay on= be an mp continuously until then.
- If he leaves parliament, will resolve no immediately, even if he wins a byelection before the next election.
- Add Suggestions for answers below.
Open markten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor If Keir Starmer is out as UK PM in 2026, will he…??
- Manifold Markets prijst Be a cabinet minister on 1 April 2027 op 2% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt If Keir Starmer is out as UK PM in 2026, will he…? afgewikkeld?
- If Keir Starmer is out as UK PM in 2026, will he…? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt If Keir Starmer is out as UK PM in 2026, will he…? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Out as PM means he is out as prime minister for any length of time, or announced his exit by 11.59pm 31 Dec 2026 London Time.