Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingCompletely unspecified (US government confidently asserts aliens exist but provide no further information) 42.9%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
30
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd24 feb 26, 19:02 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
What will be true about the next person confirmed to the US Supreme Court [Mega Market]?
Manifold MarketsWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Manifold MarketsNASA confirms aliens before 2027?
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PolymarketRegels
Resolves to an option IF EITHER the Kalshi or Polymarket question on U.S. confirmation of aliens resolves YES in 2026.
- https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaliens/aliens/kxaliens-27
- https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027
- NOTE: neither of these markets requires aliens to actually exist.
- They just require a cabinet member or federal agency to definitively state that aliens exist.
- If both resolve NO, then this resolves to N/A.
Open markten
Space
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes91.6%
- No8.4%
- Totaal volume
- € 244,6K
- 24u volume
- € 243,3K
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.6pt98%
- Google-0.9pt1%
- OpenAI-0.8pt1%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 57,2K
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 7+8.0pt92%
- Above 8-6.0pt34%
- Above 9+2.0pt10%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards 2026: Who will perform
- Raye+55.0pt99%
- Any member of GENER8ION+73.0pt99%
- Madonna+11.0pt99%
+24 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.4pt54.4%
- SpaceX44.7%
- OpenAI-0.1pt1%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHISpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Before Oct 16, 202698%
- Before Oct 1, 2026-4.0pt88%
- Before Sep 29, 202687%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 186K
- 24u volume
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
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- Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be??
- Manifold Markets prijst Completely unspecified (US government confidently asserts aliens exist but provide no further information) op 43% per 17 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be? afgewikkeld?
- If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves to an option IF EITHER the Kalshi or Polymarket question on U.S. confirmation of aliens resolves YES in 2026.