ICE agent murdered on duty by end of 2026?
One-OffUS PoliticsGeopolitiekLatin AmericaCrime & Justice3mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 85%
Voorspellers
91
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 uur geleden
Verouderd24 jan 26, 23:33 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Before December 31, 2026, will an ICE agent kill another American citizen?
Manifold MarketsBefore December 31, 2026, will an ICE agent kill another American citizen?
Manifold MarketsTrump orders active duty military to NYC by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsEvo Morales arrested by which date?
PolymarketSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by which date?
PolymarketWhich cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
PolymarketRegels
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if an ICE (Immigration and Customs Enforcement) agent or officer is murdered while on duty by December 31, 2026. "Murdered" means intentionally killed by another person during the performance of official duties.
- Resolution will be verified through official ICE announcements, Department of Homeland Security statements, or credible news reports from major outlets.
- The market resolves NO if no such death occurs by the deadline.
- ICE agents have historically been killed in the line of duty while attempting to apprehend suspects.
- Most notably, ICE Special Agent Jaime Zapata was ambushed and murdered by the Mexican criminal group Los Zetas in San Luis Potosí, Mexico in 2011.
Open markten
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 695,7K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,2 mln.
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 24,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 294,7K
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 54,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 291,3K
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor ICE agent murdered on duty by end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 85% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt ICE agent murdered on duty by end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- ICE agent murdered on duty by end of 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt ICE agent murdered on duty by end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution Criteria