Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingDemocratic President, Democratic senate 42%-3.7ptKoploper van 5 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
4
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+22.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 18 uur geleden
Verouderd7 sep 26, 00:57 UTC31 dec 43, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
New Supreme Court justice confirmed?
KalshiSupreme Court Justice Out/New Justice Confirmed by EOD Jan 3 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next justice be confirmed to the Supreme Court of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next justice confirmed to the Supreme Court of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Supreme Court justice?
KalshiDias Toffoli out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice by ?
FutuurRegels
Resolves according to whoever is president and which party controls the senate when the next Supreme Court justice is confirmed.
- ‘Other’ is for (rare) possibilities, such as a third party president or a senate controlled by third parties.
Open markten
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 697,7K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,2 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 471,3K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor How will the next Supreme Court justice be confirmed??
- Manifold Markets prijst Democratic President, Democratic senate op 42% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt How will the next Supreme Court justice be confirmed? afgewikkeld?
- How will the next Supreme Court justice be confirmed? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2043 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt How will the next Supreme Court justice be confirmed? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves according to whoever is president and which party controls the senate when the next Supreme Court justice is confirmed.