Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNo Supreme Court Justice Leaves 82.2%Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
14
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd25 mrt 26, 08:12 UTC3 jan 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
PolymarketAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026?
FutuurWill any Supreme Court Justice be charged with a federal crime?
KalshiWill Congress confirm a Supreme Court justice in 2026?
PredictItWill a Supreme Court Justice die, retire or be replaced for any reason by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any sitting Supreme Court justice leave before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegels
This market resolves based on whether a U.S. Supreme Court Justice announces retirement/resigns/dies/out for any reason and whether a replacement is confirmed by the Senate before the end of Jan 3 2027.
- The market resolves to one of three outcomes:
- the named outcome: A sitting Justice announces retirement/resigns/dies and the Senate confirms their replacement before 11.59pm DC Time Jan 3 2027.
- the named outcome: A sitting Justice announces retirement/out but no replacement is confirmed by 11.59pm DC Time Jan 3 2027.
- the named outcome: No sitting Justice out by Jan 3 2027.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the Supreme Court and Senate confirmation votes, verifiable at supremecourt.gov and senate.gov, and major media reporting.