Deze markt is beslist: Resigns (99%)
Afgewikkeld: 3 aug 2026, 18:19
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Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingResigns 99%+1.0ptKoploper van 4 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
67
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 dagen geleden
Verouderd19 jan 26, 4:383 aug 26, 18:19
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Loses general election1.5%
Loses Labour leadership challenge0.4%
Resigns99%
Other1.2%
99%
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
Regels
Resolves to the means by which Keir Starmer loses power as the UK’s Prime Minister.
- “Resigns” captures scenarios where Starmer voluntarily ceases to be PM without legal obligation, even if there is strong pressure (eg resignation following a non-binding no confidence vote or in the middle of a leadership challenge both count for “resigns”).
- It also includes resignation for personal reasons like health.
- “Other” captures any scenario not listed, including death, incapacitation, criminal disqualification or expulsion by the monarch.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor How will Keir Starmer leave office??
- Manifold Markets prijst Resigns op 99% per 4 augustus 2026.
- Wanneer wordt How will Keir Starmer leave office? afgewikkeld?
- How will Keir Starmer leave office? wordt naar verwachting op 3 augustus 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt How will Keir Starmer leave office? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves to the means by which Keir Starmer loses power as the UK’s Prime Minister.