Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling> 95342 acres (recent average) 100%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
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8
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multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden
Verouderd30 mrt 26, 03:09 UTC31 jan 27, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will more acres burn in California in 2026 than 2025
Manifold MarketsWill we learn that somebody started/extended a wildfire to win money on a prediction market before September 2027
Manifold MarketsConditional on Trump elected, will there be more wildfire acreage burnt in California in 2024-2028 than in 2020-2024?
Manifold MarketsWill the origin and outbreak of the Wildfire virus from The Walking Dead be explained before 2030?
Manifold MarketsHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 27, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Tokyo on October 28?
PolymarketRegels
2026 calendar year.
- Snowpack is historically low:
- [image]It will clearly be a dry summer.
- But will it also be hot? Just how bad will the wildfire season be?
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Colorado_wildfires