Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling0 89%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
17
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-2.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd28 okt 23, 12:44 UTC31 dec 00, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Regels
How many Putnam competitions will AI not win after winning IMO and before winning its first Putnam?
- Winning a competition means getting an equal or greater score than the top human participating.
- Only competitions after market creation count.
- The AI has to be under the same time constraints as the participants.
- Allowed scoring is either just as humans (text input and human-scored text output) or it can get formalized input and have formally verified output, then a solution gets full score if it's correct and minimum score otherwise.
- Resolves N/A at close date if not resolved by that time.
