How many "safe" Senate seats will Republicans win in 2026? (AL AR ID KY LA MS OK SD TN WV WY)
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezingAmerikaanse tussentijdse verkiezingen 202630dManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling11 79.7%Koploper van 6 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
15
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-1.3 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden
Verouderd18 jul 25, 03:29 UTC4 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will all 18 "safe" Senate seats be won by their incumbent parties?
Manifold MarketsHow many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?
KalshiHow many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?
KalshiHow many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?
PolymarketRegels
As of question writing, these are the 11 states that are listed as "safe" or "solid" Republican seats on Wikipedia by all four ratings columns.
- How many of them will the Republicans actually win?
- Based on a consensus of credible reporting, or certified results if consensus reporting is not available prior to that.
- Counting independent senators who have announced they intend to caucus with the Republicans.
- See also: @/EvanDaniel/how-many-safe-senate-seats-will-the