How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?
2.5 ptn (24u)PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezingAmerikaanse tussentijdse verkiezingen 202630d
PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
47–49 and 193–207 30%+2.5ptKoploper van 13 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
47–49 and 193–207 30%+2.5ptMarktkwaliteit
47 / 100
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€ 187,8
Liquiditeit
€ 224,5K
Hoge liquiditeitReacties
3
7d wijziging
-0.4 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
25 jun 26, 17:30 UTC4 nov 26, 04:59 UTC
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How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?
KalshiHow many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?
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Manifold MarketsHow many House seats will the Republicans flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
Manifold MarketsWill the stock market crash if the Republicans win the midterms?
Manifold MarketsRegels
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of the Republican Party’s seat count in the US House of Representatives and the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
- The Senate seat count includes all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026.
- Vacant Senate seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat.
- The House seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress.
- Where a Senate or House seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat, even if it takes place after November 2026.