How many "safe" House seats will flip in 2026?
One-OffVerkiezingAmerikaanse politiekAmerikaanse tussentijdse verkiezingen 2026Politiek3dManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling≥8 56.8%Koploper van 6 uitkomsten
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Verouderd24 jan 26, 22:30 UTC2 nov 26, 23:00 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
A seat "flips" if won by a different party than won it in 2024.
- Independents count based on which party they caucus with.
- The 68 "competitive" seats are those in Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?
- This market covers the remaining 367 seats.
- Model as of question creation: mean 16, ≥10 covers 92%, ≥20 covers 22%.
