Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling≥8 56.8%Koploper van 6 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
9
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden
Verouderd24 jan 26, 22:30 UTC2 nov 26, 23:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
How many House seats will flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
Manifold MarketsHow many house seats will Democrats flip before the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsHow many House seats do the Democrats flip in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?
PolymarketHow many House seats will the Democrats win in California?
PolymarketRepublican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
PolymarketRegels
A seat "flips" if won by a different party than won it in 2024.
- Independents count based on which party they caucus with.
- The 68 "competitive" seats are those in Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?
- This market covers the remaining 367 seats.
- Model as of question creation: mean 16, ≥10 covers 92%, ≥20 covers 22%.
Open markten
ElectionsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 692,2K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.8pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,1 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,6 mln.
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor How many "safe" House seats will flip in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst ≥8 op 57% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt How many "safe" House seats will flip in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- How many "safe" House seats will flip in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 2 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt How many "safe" House seats will flip in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: A seat "flips" if won by a different party than won it in 2024.