Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingAt least 250 94.1%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
10
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd17 jun 26, 06:07 UTC31 dec 27, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will SpaceX conduct at least half of all successful orbital launches in 2027?
Manifold MarketsHow many crewed orbital space launches will there be in 2027?
Manifold MarketsHow many crewed orbital space launches will there be in 2028?
Manifold MarketsHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
KalshiHow many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
KalshiHow many SpaceX launches in September 2026?
PolymarketRegels
There were 317 in 2025, and 135 so far in 2026.
Open markten
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt88%
- OpenAI-1.7pt10%
- Google2%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 85,3K
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes59.4%
- No40.6%
- Totaal volume
- € 153,6K
- 24u volume
- € 39,2K
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- October 3197%
- Successful splash down?84%
- September 30-5.3pt83%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 409,9K
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.3pt59.8%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.1%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-1.0pt84%
- Above 9-27.0pt46%
- Above 10-8.0pt23%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- AI data center in space by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor How many orbital launches will there be in 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst At least 250 op 94% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt How many orbital launches will there be in 2027? afgewikkeld?
- How many orbital launches will there be in 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt How many orbital launches will there be in 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: There were 317 in 2025, and 135 so far in 2026.