How many months will the Bolojan government in Romania last?
PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezingGeopolitiekSportSchakenEuropaAmerikaanse politiek6mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling0–6 months (until Dec 2025) 95.4%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
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Verouderd22 sep 25, 21:32 UTC2 mei 27, 21:21 UTC
Trends
Regels
Ilie Bolojan became Prime Minister of Romania on 23 June 2025, with Nicușor Dan as President.
- The coalition agreement foresees a rotation in April 2027, when PSD is expected to nominate a new PM.
- However, the government could collapse earlier due to coalition disputes, economic pressures, or external shocks.
- Resolution: This market resolves to the number of full months the Bolojan government lasts, counted from 23 June 2025 until either (a) it is replaced/resigns, or (b) April 2027 rotation occurs, or (c) the next government is officially sworn in.
- Resolution criteria
- Start date: 23 June 2025, when Ilie Bolojan’s cabinet received Parliament’s confidence vote and was sworn in.
