Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling40.0% or below? 100%Koploper van 12 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
33
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 uur geleden
Verouderd2 mrt 26, 07:48 UTC31 dec 26, 10:59 UTC
Trends
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KalshiRegels
Resolves according to vote hub: https://votehub.com/polls/ Average of polls.
- See image below for figure to be used.
- We will use the approve number to resolve this market.
- Just has to show once on the graph, does not have to stay below that number until the end of the year.
- If votehub shuts down I’ll find another reliable source
- Year ends at December 31 11.59pm Eastern Time.
