Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingthrough June 2024 100%Koploper van 14 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
14
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd6 dec 23, 08:09 UTC1 jan 31, 07:59 UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRegels
Each market resolves YES when I have contiguously lived in San Francisco until the end of that month.
- I count it as living in SF if I tell people while abroad that "I live in SF", even if I haven't been in SF for e.g. a month.
- When I trade in this market I will try to trade based on what I believe in the moment of trading (i.e. to trade in the direction of my belief).
- I currently have a lease until..
- June 2024, I think?