How high will Trump rank by time in office?
2.4 ptn (24u)PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezingAI2jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling2nd, tied 41.9%+2.4ptKoploper van 10 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
22
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-19.6 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 14 uur geleden
Verouderd28 okt 25, 00:50 UTC21 jan 29, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Which prime ministers of Australia will Anthony Albanese overtake in terms of time in office?
Manifold MarketsHow high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiHow high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketWhat will happen during Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsTrump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by which date?
PolymarketWhich Party will win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate Election
Manifold MarketsRegels
This question is referring to Wikipedia's list of presidents of the United States by time in office and what Donald Trump's highest position on that list will be before his death.
- Donald Trump spent 1,461 days in office during his first term.
- He regained the presidency at 12 noon, 20 January 2025.
- This market should only use Eastern Standard Time (UTC−05:00), regardless of daylight savings time.
- For purposes of this market, round to the nearest integer day when counting time spent in office.
- For instance, if a president takes office at 12 noon on 20 January of one year (with no leap day) and then leaves office at 1 am on 20 January of the next year, they will have held the office for 364 days and 13 hours (364.54 days).