Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling2050 70.7%Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
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13
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multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
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Vertraagd20 mrt 24, 07:09 UTC31 dec 51, 10:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?
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KalshiBTC price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegels
Resolves based on our world in data.
- https://ourworldindata.org/electric-car-sales
- Their figure includes plug in hybrids.
- Was 8% in 2022.
- The idea of this question is the exclude hydrogen or any other competing technologies.
- I may change the data source if our world in data is no longer available (eg in 2050).
