German "Brandmauer" (AfD collaboration ban) falls before EOY 2026? (official coalition)
PolitiekOne-OffEuropeVerkiezing3mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 95.2%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd27 okt 25, 22:27 UTC30 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Alternative for Germany (AfD) formally enters into a governing coalition with at least one established mainstream German political party (such as CDU/CSU, SPD, FDP, or Alliance 90/The Greens) at either the federal or state (Land) level, resulting in a signed coalition agreement, before or on December 31, 2026.
- The market will resolve to "No" if no such official coalition agreement is formed by the specified date.
- For resolution, verifiable evidence of a signed coalition agreement published by the participating parties, or official government formation documents, will be required.
- Casual parliamentary cooperation on specific votes, tacit support for motions, or agreements at the municipal/local level will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
- The "Brandmauer" (firewall) is a long-standing political consensus among Germany's established mainstream parties to prevent formal cooperation with the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD).
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor German "Brandmauer" (AfD collaboration ban) falls before EOY 2026? (official coalition)?
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 95% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt German "Brandmauer" (AfD collaboration ban) falls before EOY 2026? (official coalition) afgewikkeld?
- German "Brandmauer" (AfD collaboration ban) falls before EOY 2026? (official coalition) wordt naar verwachting op 30 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt German "Brandmauer" (AfD collaboration ban) falls before EOY 2026? (official coalition) afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria