Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 90.3%
Voorspellers
18
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd10 jan 26, 06:31 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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KalshiRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if former President Joe Biden dies at any point during 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by major news sources reporting his death.
- The market resolves NO if Biden survives through December 31, 2026.
- Biden was born on November 20, 1942, making him 83 years old as of January 2026.
- He became the first president to turn 80 years old while in office.
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1 mld.
- 24u volume
- € 2,1 mln.
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-33.7pt51%
- Delcy Rodríguez+29.5pt42%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 29,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 621,6K
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
- Totaal volume
- € 19,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 488,8K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-1.3pt10%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Former president Biden dead in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 90% per 19 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Former president Biden dead in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Former president Biden dead in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Former president Biden dead in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria