Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 73%
Voorspellers
14
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 21 uur geleden
Verouderd12 dec 25, 18:34 UTC31 dec 26, 18:34 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Texas use a different U.S. House map in 2026 than in 2024?
Manifold MarketsMacBook base model price on Black Friday
KalshiApple releases base model iPhone 18 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the next major AI model (GPT-5, Gemini 2.0, etc.) be able to correctly predict this market's resolution?
Manifold MarketsSlate Auto EV pickup base model launches below $27,500 excluding subsidies?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegels
I would resolve the market to "Yes" if GPT-5.2 used a different pretrain than GPT-5.1.
- This market may be resolved using insider knowledge that I hear from friends that work at OpenAI.
- In this case, there will be no public citations for my resolution.
- Trade at your own risk.