Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 20:50 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 59.8%
Voorspellers
20
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd5 aug 22, 23:19 UTC1 jan 32, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the US government adopt and deploy a post-quantum cryptography standard before 2030?
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PolymarketRegels
Did the NSA interfere with the NIST PQC standardization process with the intent of making the resulting cryptosystem more susceptible to attack?
- This market resolves to MKT shortly after close---early January 2032.
- There will be no early resolution.
- (Otherwise there would be too strong of a bias towards YES.)
- I may resolve the market by hand, rather than to MKT, if there's evidence that the market isn't functioning correctly.
- For instance, if overwhelming evidence is clearly being ignored, if the market is far from the consensus of crypto professionals, etc. The purpose of this disclaimer is to make sure the Keynesian beauty contest stays on track.
