Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 99.3%
Voorspellers
553
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 minuten geleden
14 nov 25, 21:56 UTC1 jan 27, 21:54 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Hillary and Bill Clinton divorce announcement before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsDid Donald Trump have gay sex?
Manifold MarketsDid Donald Trump have sex with a minor (underage)? (Sworn court testimony or similar, by 2028-01-01.)
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump issue a public apology?
KalshiWho will Donald Trump meet in 2026?
KalshiWill Donald Trump attend UFC 332?
KalshiRegels
This market will resolve as YES if it is confirmed by January 1st 2027 that Donald Trump and Bill Clinton had sex
- For the purposes of this market, oral sex counts as sexual intercourse
Open markten
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 693K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,1 mln.
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 54,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 266,9K
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Totaal volume
- € 12,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 248,7K
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Did Donald Trump have sex with Bill Clinton??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 99% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Did Donald Trump have sex with Bill Clinton? afgewikkeld?
- Did Donald Trump have sex with Bill Clinton? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Did Donald Trump have sex with Bill Clinton? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve as YES if it is confirmed by January 1st 2027 that Donald Trump and Bill Clinton had sex