Conditional on Trump being elected in 2024, will the Supreme Court allow him to seek a third term in 2028?
US PoliticsOne-Off2j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 92%
Voorspellers
27
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 uur geleden
Verouderd4 jul 24, 04:35 UTC8 nov 28, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Conditional on Trump being elected president in 2024, will a Republican also be elected in 2028?
Manifold MarketsConditional on Trump running for a third term, will he win?
Manifold MarketsWill a bill or proposal be brought to a vote, that would allow President Trump to run for a third term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump run for a third term?
KalshiWill the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage?
KalshiWho will be the next Supreme Court justice?
KalshiRegels
Joshua Zeitz argues that “the odds aren’t zero.” https://x.com/joshuamzeitz/status/1808130997436797139?s=46&t=KXHuklQ7fpBGC3MqBbD7ug
Open markten
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 695,7K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,2 mln.
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 24,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 294,7K
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 54,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 291,3K
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Conditional on Trump being elected in 2024, will the Supreme Court allow him to seek a third term in 2028??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 92% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Conditional on Trump being elected in 2024, will the Supreme Court allow him to seek a third term in 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Conditional on Trump being elected in 2024, will the Supreme Court allow him to seek a third term in 2028? wordt naar verwachting op 8 november 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Conditional on Trump being elected in 2024, will the Supreme Court allow him to seek a third term in 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Joshua Zeitz argues that “the odds aren’t zero.” https://x.com/joshuamzeitz/status/1808130997436797139?s=46&t=KXHuklQ7fpBGC3MqBbD7ug