Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 23 okt 2026, 22:24 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingIowa 15.6%-0.2ptKoploper van 21 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
14
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+1.1 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd25 sep 26, 03:42 UTC3 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Closest Senate Race?
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Manifold MarketsGOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?
PolymarketRegels
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race/kxclosestsenate-27jan03
- Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
- Resolves to the state that has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027
