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Gegevens van 18 aug 2026, 17:00 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
Alaska 0%Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
Methodologie
Retail prediction exchange
Vraagtype
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24u volume
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Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 minuut geleden
Trends
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Regels
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the 2026 Senate election, among those listed in this market, that is won by the smallest percentage margin of the popular vote between the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Should a state reallocate votes under a ranked-choice voting system, this market shall be resolved according to the popular vote count of the last reported round.
- Should any election go to a second round, this market shall be resolved according to the results from that second round.
All listed contracts refer to regularly scheduled general election races.
The margin of victory shall be calculated by using the difference between the percentage of votes for the first place winner and the percentage of votes for the second place winner. - Percentages of the popular vote shall be determined by dividing the number of votes won by each candidate over the total of votes for all ballot-listed candidates and write-ins officially reported.
- In a ranked-choice election, only votes that are active in the last round reported shall be considered.
Should the most specific data available indicate a tie between two or more contests, this market will resolve in favor of the first alphabetical state among those so tied.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. - Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
CoinRithm-referentie Texas 17% · 2 platforms · band van 2 pt
Open markten
Politics
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-7.0pt65.7%
- Ralph Norman+5.0pt25.9%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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- 24u volume
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POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.3pt34.7%
- Édouard Philippe27.4%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.7%
+125 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.3%
- Jon Ossoff16.4%
- Gavin Newsom+2.0pt15.4%
+44 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 160,2 mln.
- 24u volume
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva63.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.2pt32.7%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt4%
+29 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt12%
+125 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 591 mln.
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85%
- Republican Party15%
- Totaal volume
- € 20,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 500,4K
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Which 2026 Senate race will be the closest??
- PredictIt prijst Alaska op 0% per 21 augustus 2026.
- Hoe wordt Which 2026 Senate race will be the closest? afgewikkeld?
- PredictIt wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the 2026 Senate election, among those listed in this market, that is won by the smallest percentage margin of the popular vote between the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Waar wordt Which 2026 Senate race will be the closest? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Polymarket, Kalshi.